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St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy
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Case Profile
| Docket Number | 25-581 |
| Term | 2026 |
| Full Name | St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy |
| Short Name | St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy |
| Petitioner | None |
| Respondent | None |
| Date Argued (Reargued) | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| Date Decided |
Question Presented
(1) Whether proving a lack of general applicability under Employment Division v. Smith requires showing unfettered discretion or categorical exemptions for identical secular conduct; (2) whether Carson v. Makin displaces the rule of Employment Division v. Smith only when the government explicitly excludes religious people and institutions.
Case Prediction Summary
- correct prediction- wrong prediction
| Total Prediction Count | 45 |
| Votes for Justice Affirm | 15 |
| Votes to Justice Reverse | 30 |
| % Justice (A)ffirm/(R)everse |
67 (R)
|
| Votes for Outcome Affirm | 0 |
| Votes for Outcome Reverse | 5 |
| % Outcome (A)ffirm/(R)everse |
100 (R)
|
| Predicted Outcome |
Reverse
|
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